Hi FB! It’s been lovely having a break from the war but one must pay bills and the Russian army is still in Ukraine, for better or worse time to get back to work.
I've started looking at UKR brigades as if they're miniature NATO-style divisions from back in the day. Each has too may subordinate units to fight effectively as a single entity and concentrating that much firepower in one place just attracts area attacks anyway.
Likely each brigade generates 3-4 battle groups with 1-2 on the front at any given time. That lets a brigade remain on the line but with an inherent capability to generate reserves. Could explain why part of the 47th is reportedly off the line but components are still taking names near Robotyne.
At least, it's what I'd do in Kyiv's shoes. This is a bloodier version of the first 100 days of Desert Storm forced on Ukraine's defenders by lack of full support from weak-kneed allies in certain countries.
Cracks will form. The question then will be whether the orcs have managed to overcome their incompetence at between-unit coordination to plug the gap before a couple pincers get behind Polohy and tear open a nice big hole in the front.
I mean obviously a lot could still go wrong. But my evaluation remains that slow progress up front is the price you pay for rapid gains later. Doing things the other way is what Putin tried on Kyiv last year.
Welcome back Stefan and thanks for the report, its looking a bit better for the UAF all the time
I've started looking at UKR brigades as if they're miniature NATO-style divisions from back in the day. Each has too may subordinate units to fight effectively as a single entity and concentrating that much firepower in one place just attracts area attacks anyway.
Likely each brigade generates 3-4 battle groups with 1-2 on the front at any given time. That lets a brigade remain on the line but with an inherent capability to generate reserves. Could explain why part of the 47th is reportedly off the line but components are still taking names near Robotyne.
At least, it's what I'd do in Kyiv's shoes. This is a bloodier version of the first 100 days of Desert Storm forced on Ukraine's defenders by lack of full support from weak-kneed allies in certain countries.
Cracks will form. The question then will be whether the orcs have managed to overcome their incompetence at between-unit coordination to plug the gap before a couple pincers get behind Polohy and tear open a nice big hole in the front.
I mean obviously a lot could still go wrong. But my evaluation remains that slow progress up front is the price you pay for rapid gains later. Doing things the other way is what Putin tried on Kyiv last year.